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  5. The SIR model of Zika virus disease outbreak in Brazil at year 2015
 
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The SIR model of Zika virus disease outbreak in Brazil at year 2015

Journal
AIP Conference Proceedings
ISSN
0094243X
Date Issued
2017-05-19
Author(s)
Lim Eng Aik
Universiti Malaysia Perlis
Lam Chee Kiang
Universiti Malaysia Perlis
Tan Wei Hong
Universiti Malaysia Perlis
Mohd Syafarudy Abu
Universiti Malaysia Perlis
DOI
10.1063/1.4983859
Abstract
This research study demonstrates a numerical model intended for comprehension the spread of the year 2015 Zika virus disease utilizing the standard SIR framework. In modeling virulent disease dynamics, it is important to explore whether the illness spread could accomplish a pandemic level or it could be eradicated. Information from the year 2015 Zika virus disease event is utilized and Brazil where the event began is considered in this research study. A three dimensional nonlinear differential equation is formulated and solved numerically utilizing the Euler's method in MS excel. It is appeared from the research study that, with health intercessions of public, the viable regenerative number can be decreased making it feasible for the event to cease to exist. It is additionally indicated numerically that the pandemic can just cease to exist when there are no new infected people in the populace.
File(s)
Research repository notification.pdf (4.4 MB)
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