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  4. The effect of changes in oil price and monetary stance on stock market performance – evidence from Bursa Malaysia
 
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The effect of changes in oil price and monetary stance on stock market performance – evidence from Bursa Malaysia

Journal
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on the Roles of the Humanities and Social Sciences in Engineering (ICoHSE) 2010
Date Issued
2010-11-12
Author(s)
Abdul Razak Abdul Hadi
Universiti KualaLumpur
Abu Hassan Shaari
Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
Mohamed Hisham Yahya
Universiti Putra Malaysia
Handle (URI)
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14170/14959
Abstract
The study is pursued with the objective to examine the effect of changes in crude oil price and three macroeconomic variables, namely exhange rate (RM/USD), overnight lending rate (OLR), and money supply (M1) on the performance of public listed companies in Bursa Malaysia as proxied by Kuala Lumpur Compsite Index (KLCI). The study employs Engle-Granger Cointegration test and Johansen-Juselius Multivariate Cointegration on the investigated variables. Using time series data from January 1983 through December 2006, the empirical findings show there exists a significant long-term relationship between KLCI performance and the four variables. The test results from Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition, however, fail to support the presence of a dynamic interaction between KLCI and the investigated variables. Interestingly, the test results form Granger Causality test indicate a significant role of money supply in influencing the performance of KLCI. The empirical findings from this study do have direct policy implications for regulators, international traders and investors.
Subjects
  • Kuala Lumpur Composit...

  • Engle-Granger Cointeg...

  • JohansenJuseliusCoint...

  • Error Correction Mode...

  • Johansen-Juselius Coi...

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The effect of changes in oil price and monetary stance on stock market performance evidence from Bursa Malaysia.pdf (406.94 KB)
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Mar 5, 2026
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