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  5. Predicting direction of stock price index volatility using Genetic Algorithms and Artificial Neural Network Models in Tehran stock exchange
 
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Predicting direction of stock price index volatility using Genetic Algorithms and Artificial Neural Network Models in Tehran stock exchange

Journal
International Journal of Business and Technopreneurship (IJBT)
ISSN
2232-1543
Date Issued
2014-10
Author(s)
Vahid Amin
S. Hasan Salehnezhad
Mehrdad Valipour
Saber Nasirlu
Handle (URI)
http://ijbt.unimap.edu.my/
https://ijbt.unimap.edu.my/index.php/table-of-content-2014/volume-4-no-3-october-2014
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14170/1790
Abstract
Using volatility of stock price index by investor caused prediction of stock price index to be considered as one of the most controversial topics in finance. This study have been conducted using two artificial neural network and hybrid models of genetic algorithm-neural network as a successful model to predict the volatility of stock price index in Tehran stock exchange. Inputs to both models are nine indicators of guidance relating to eleven periods of 6-month from 2005 to 2010. Hybrid model of ANN-GA and ANN model were able to predict the volatility of the stock price index for 11 periods, on average, 96.34% and 89.80% respectively and this study showed that genetic algorithm combination with other models create an effective model to predict artificial intelligence model optimization.
Subjects
  • Artificial Neural Net...

  • Genetic Algorithm (GA...

  • Prediction

  • Stock price index

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Predicting Direction of Stock Price.pdf (253.08 KB)
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