Wan Azani Wan Mustafa
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Preferred name
Wan Azani Wan Mustafa
Official Name
Wan Azani, Wan Mustafa
Alternative Name
Mustafa, W.
Azani Mustafa, Wan
Mustaffa, Wan Azani
Wan Mustafa, Wan Azani
Main Affiliation
Scopus Author ID
57219421621
Researcher ID
J-4603-2014

Research Output

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  • Publication
    Improvement of Time Forecasting Models Using Machine Learning for Future Pandemic Applications Based on COVID-19 Data 2020–2022
    ( 2023-03-01)
    K Abdul Hamid A.A.
    ;
    Wan Mohamad Nawi W.I.A.
    ;
    Lola M.S.
    ;
    Wan Azani Wan Mustafa
    ;
    Abdul Malik S.M.
    ;
    Zakaria S.
    ;
    Aruchunan E.
    ;
    Zainuddin N.H.
    ;
    Gobithaasan R.U.
    ;
    Abdullah M.T.
    Improving forecasts, particularly the accuracy, efficiency, and precision of time-series forecasts, is becoming critical for authorities to predict, monitor, and prevent the spread of the Coronavirus disease. However, the results obtained from the predictive models are imprecise and inefficient because the dataset contains linear and non-linear patterns, respectively. Linear models such as autoregressive integrated moving average cannot be used effectively to predict complex time series, so nonlinear approaches are better suited for such a purpose. Therefore, to achieve a more accurate and efficient predictive value of COVID-19 that is closer to the true value of COVID-19, a hybrid approach was implemented. Therefore, the objectives of this study are twofold. The first objective is to propose intelligence-based prediction methods to achieve better prediction results called autoregressive integrated moving average–least-squares support vector machine. The second objective is to investigate the performance of these proposed models by comparing them with the autoregressive integrated moving average, support vector machine, least-squares support vector machine, and autoregressive integrated moving average–support vector machine. Our investigation is based on three COVID-19 real datasets, i.e., daily new cases data, daily new death cases data, and daily new recovered cases data. Then, statistical measures such as mean square error, root mean square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error were performed to verify that the proposed models are better than the autoregressive integrated moving average, support vector machine model, least-squares support vector machine, and autoregressive integrated moving average–support vector machine. Empirical results using three recent datasets of known the Coronavirus Disease-19 cases in Malaysia show that the proposed model generates the smallest mean square error, root mean square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error values for training and testing datasets compared to the autoregressive integrated moving average, support vector machine, least-squares support vector machine, and autoregressive integrated moving average–support vector machine models. This means that the predicted value of the proposed model is closer to the true value. These results demonstrate that the proposed model can generate estimates more accurately and efficiently. Compared to the autoregressive integrated moving average, support vector machine, least-squares support vector machine, and autoregressive integrated moving average–support vector machine models, our proposed models perform much better in terms of percent error reduction for both training and testing all datasets. Therefore, the proposed model is possibly the most efficient and effective way to improve prediction for future pandemic performance with a higher level of accuracy and efficiency.
  • Publication
    Effect of Humidity on Tropospheric Received Signal Strength (RSS) in Ultra-High Frequency (UHF) Band
    ( 2020-06-17)
    Mat R.
    ;
    Sabri N.H.
    ;
    Umar R.
    ;
    Ahmad S.
    ;
    Zafar S.N.A.S.
    ;
    Omar A.
    ;
    Wan Azani Wan Mustafa
    The variation of weather conditions can affect the performance and quality of a communication system and sensor network. Therefore, it is vital to explore the factors that influence the quality of the radio signal to adapt to weather conditions. This paper describes the tropospheric effect of the meteorological parameter (humidity) for Ultra High Frequency (UHF) band at KUSZA Observatory (KO), UniSZA, Terengganu. Received signal strength (RSS) and humidity were collected using spectrum analyser and weather station respectively for 24 hours in a rainy and a sunny day. Statistical analysis was used to determine the relationship between humidity and RSS. The results show that variation in humidity conditions give RSS with negative correlations in both conditions. The correlation of the RSS and humidity at both observation days (rr=correlation of frequencies on rainy day, rs = correlation of frequencies on sunny day) for frequency 382.5 MHz (rr=-0.423, rs=-0.382), while for frequency 945 MHz (rr = -0.512, rs=-0.631), frequency 1867.5 MHz (rr=-0.588, rs=-0.669) and frequency 2160 MHz (rr = -0.509 rs=-0.805). This study will benefit the active spectrum users such as mobile telecommunications, wireless signal, satellite transmission TV and radio astronomy expert in the management of radio frequency interference (RFI) for the observation and monitoring of the radio signal transmission.