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  1. Home
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  3. Faculty of Mechanical Engineering & Technology (FTKM)
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  5. Southern South China Sea dynamics: sea level change from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in the 21st century
 
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Southern South China Sea dynamics: sea level change from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in the 21st century

Journal
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
ISSN
2077-1312
Date Issued
2023
Author(s)
Noah Irfan Azran
Universiti Malaysia Terengganu
Hafeez Jeofry
Universiti Malaysia Terengganu
Jing Xiang Chung
Universiti Malaysia Terengganu
Liew Juneng
Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
Syamir Alihan Showkat Ali
Universiti Malaysia Perlis
Alex Griffiths
King’s College London, United Kingdom
Muhammad Zahir Ramli
International Islamic University Malaysia
Effi Helmy Ariffin
Universiti Malaysia Terengganu
Mohd Fuad Miskon
International Islamic University Malaysia
Juliana Mohamed
International Islamic University Malaysia
Kamaruzzaman Yunus
International Islamic University Malaysia
Mohd Fadzil Akhir
Universiti Malaysia Terengganu
DOI
10.3390/jmse11020458
Handle (URI)
https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/2/458
https://www.mdpi.com/
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14170/15253
Abstract
Sea level rise will significantly impact coastal areas around the world. As a coastal country, Malaysia’s rising sea levels are a significant concern because they would affect 70% of its population. The study of sea level rise is important in order to implement effective mitigation and adaptation strategies. This study investigates the performance of CMIP6 Global Climate Models (GCMs) in simulating sea level rise in the Malaysian seas using various statistical methods. The models’ performances were evaluated by comparing historic CMIP6 GCM runs from 1993 to 2010 with sea level measurements from the satellite altimetry AVISO+ using the Taylor diagram. The SCS (SCSPM and SCSEM) had a higher sea level range and trend in both selected areas than the SM and SS. With 1.5 °C warmings, the multi-model ensemble means predicted that the SCS would rise by 16 mm near the Peninsular, with sea levels increasing by 0.908 m at a rate of 1.5 mm/year, and by 14.5 mm near East Malaysia, with sea levels increasing by 0.895 m at a rate of 1.1 mm/year. In contrast, 2.0 °C warmings project that SCSPM and SCSEM would cause sea levels to rise by 20.2 mm and 21.5 mm, respectively, at a rate of 0.6 mm/year and 0.7 mm/year. This information will provide an insight into Malaysian sea levels between now and the end of the twenty-first century, which will be beneficial for government agencies, academics, and relevant stakeholders.
Subjects
  • CMIP6

  • Dynamic Sea Level

  • Future Projections

  • Sea Level Rise

  • South China Sea

  • Climate change

File(s)
Southern South China Sea Dynamics.pdf (774.17 KB)
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Acquisition Date
Mar 5, 2026
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Acquisition Date
Mar 5, 2026
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