Home
  • English
  • Čeština
  • Deutsch
  • Español
  • Français
  • Gàidhlig
  • Latviešu
  • Magyar
  • Nederlands
  • Português
  • Português do Brasil
  • Suomi
  • Log In
    New user? Click here to register. Have you forgotten your password?
Home
  • Browse Our Collections
  • Publications
  • Researchers
  • Research Data
  • Institutions
  • Statistics
    • English
    • Čeština
    • Deutsch
    • Español
    • Français
    • Gàidhlig
    • Latviešu
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Português
    • Português do Brasil
    • Suomi
    • Log In
      New user? Click here to register. Have you forgotten your password?
  1. Home
  2. Research Output and Publications
  3. Faculty of Civil Engineering & Technology
  4. Journal Articles
  5. Short-term predictions of PM₁₀ using Bayesian Regression Models
 
Options

Short-term predictions of PM₁₀ using Bayesian Regression Models

Journal
E3S Web of Conferences
ISSN
2267-1242
Date Issued
2023
Author(s)
Norazrin Ramli
Universiti Malaysia Perlis
Hazrul Abdul Hamid
Universiti Sains Malaysia
Ahmad Shukri Yahaya
Universiti Sains Malaysia
Norazian Mohamed Noor
Universiti Malaysia Perlis
Holban Elena
Institutul Naţional de Cercetare
DOI
10.1051/e3sconf/202343701006
Handle (URI)
https://www.e3s-conferences.org/
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14170/14603
Abstract
One of the air pollutants that poses the greatest threat to human health is PM10. The objectives of this study are to develop a prediction model for PM10. The Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Bayesian Regression (BRM) models were constructed to forecast the following dayâ s (Day 1) and next two daysâ (Day 2) PM10 concentration. To choose the optimal model, the performance metrics (NAE, RMSE, PA, IA, and R2) are applied to each model. Jerantut, Nilai, Shah Alam, and Klang were chosen as monitoring sites. Data from the Department of Environment Malaysia (DOE) was utilised as a case study for five years, with seven parameters (PM10, temperature, relative humidity, NO2, SO2, CO, and O3) chosen. According to the findings, the key factors responsible for the unhealthy levels of air quality at the Klang station include carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulphur dioxide (SO2), and ozone (O3) from industrial and maritime activities, which are thought to influence PM10 concentrations in the area. When compared to MLR models, the results demonstrate that BRM are the best model for predicting the next day and next two days PM10 concentration at all locations.
File(s)
Short-term predictions of PM₁₀ using Bayesian Regression Models (823.64 KB)
Downloads
11
Acquisition Date
Mar 5, 2026
View Details
Views
2
Acquisition Date
Mar 5, 2026
View Details
google-scholar
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Policies